Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.019862 4.762227 5.633444 6.739307 8.116887 9.791196 12.002795
2024-12-15 3.037930 3.980786 5.233663 7.055162 9.695332 13.479719 19.498954
2024-12-22 2.425042 3.376829 4.741853 6.905783 10.373916 15.947786 26.104195
2024-12-29 2.057457 3.004540 4.447529 6.901979 11.181317 18.775786 34.423621
2025-01-05 1.770375 2.685803 4.150655 6.791902 11.737876 21.309244 43.356434
2025-01-12 1.597877 2.511007 4.040538 6.955492 12.806050 25.149273 57.058643
2025-01-19 1.412336 2.282285 3.793741 6.806918 13.212549 27.756038 69.371776
2025-01-26 1.345198 2.243657 3.871203 7.289860 15.069126 34.376336 97.155813
2025-02-02 1.265728 2.169787 3.868332 7.605565 16.650404 41.037582 130.784747
2025-02-09 1.202145 2.115086 3.891190 7.979003 18.493924 49.330493 178.665867
2025-02-16 1.122658 2.018739 3.814085 8.108322 19.755745 56.571879 230.913219
2025-02-23 1.056470 1.939625 3.759770 8.279294 21.197122 65.243519 302.223582
2025-03-02 0.968837 1.819831 3.629346 8.314793 22.530848 75.493430 408.554652
2025-03-09 0.912416 1.760004 3.629502 8.717753 25.316711 94.408959 628.661715
2025-03-16 0.826977 1.625076 3.431344 8.525423 26.042558 105.269713 827.036348
2025-03-23 0.763690 1.529605 3.309797 8.520510 27.471437 121.319267 1154.205785
2025-03-30 0.701403 1.427926 3.155632 8.378755 28.338483 135.653368 1551.697933
2025-04-06 0.663083 1.375952 3.117540 8.589467 30.793559 163.074128 2384.821158
2025-04-13 0.611466 1.286277 2.967143 8.398086 31.433536 179.768749 3208.435814
2025-04-20 0.597458 1.284554 3.050215 9.020953 36.274724 236.771513 6120.513526
2025-04-27 0.575657 1.260812 3.068988 9.429321 40.407811 297.976859 11246.925492
2025-05-04 0.557489 1.243743 3.103779 9.913537 45.386248 381.839149 22749.990641
2025-05-11 0.530913 1.201830 3.059239 10.081507 48.730057 458.693620 42282.369830